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cduscus poised for victory in upcoming german elections according to polls

UBS analysis indicates a strong likelihood of the CDU/CSU alliance winning the majority in the upcoming German elections, with a 94% chance of securing the most seats and a 93% chance for Friedrich Merz as the next chancellor. Potential coalitions with the SPD or Greens could lead to a combined 69% of parliamentary seats, crucial for constitutional reforms like modifying the debt brake. Key debates among candidates are scheduled for February, with exit polls expected to provide early results on election night.

germany faces pivotal election amid economic challenges and shifting political landscape

Germany's upcoming snap election follows the collapse of Chancellor Scholz's coalition, with the far-right AfD gaining significant support at 22%. Potential coalition scenarios include a "Kenya Coalition" of CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens, though ideological differences complicate alliances. Economic stagnation and immigration policy are central issues, impacting market sentiment and trading opportunities.

reactions to parliamentary inquiry report on credit suisse collapse and regulation reforms

The Parliamentary Commission of Inquiry's report on Credit Suisse's collapse highlights years of mismanagement and calls for stronger regulations for systemically important banks. Reactions from political and business leaders emphasize the need for effective oversight, with some advocating for a "Lex UBS" to manage the risks posed by the newly formed mega-bank. The Federal Council acknowledges the report's findings and plans to incorporate them into future regulatory frameworks.
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